Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:30 • Quba OIK stadionu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.26) 0.22 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 50.2% 11.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.2%
1 - 0
26.3%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Qabala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 44.2% 9.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMil-MuğanQabala
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack43%29%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mil-Muğan Qabala
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins25%67%43%33%0%14%
Draws50%0%29%0%25%14%
Loses25%33%29%67%75%71%

Form: Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDL • Qabala: DLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Mil-Muğan Qabala
HATHAT
GF total246426
GF avg0.51.30.91.30.50.9
GA total224369
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMil-MuğanQabala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%43%57%86%
1.514%14%14%43%
2.514%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMil-MuğanQabala
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricMil-MuğanQabala
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMil-MuğanQabala
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-0
Biggest losses0-12-01-22-0
Goals For1331
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricMil-MuğanQabala
Form77%23%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals15%85%
Total54.2%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mil-Muğan or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 0.59 (league 1.26), Qabala = 0.22 (league 1.12)

Qabala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 44.2% 9.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 50.2% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1