Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:30 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.19 (league 1.57) 0.76 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.7% 10.3% 5.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.4%
2 - 0
9.8%
4 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%75%
Defense75%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%100%100%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWWW • Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWD

League goals

Metric Bayern München Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total1510255712
GF avg5.03.34.21.72.32.0
GA total033134
GA avg0.01.00.50.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%33%
1.5100%17%67%17%
2.5100%0%33%17%
3.567%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
Wins64
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-00-2
Biggest losses
Goals For6433
Goals Against0213

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
Form54%46%
Att68%32%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals61%39%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Winner : Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ 1xBet
Draw5.97 @ 1xBet
Away8.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 3.19 (league 1.57), Borussia Dortmund = 0.76 (league 1.51)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.7% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 5.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1