Serie C — Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.02) 0.62 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 30.9% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Brusque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nautico Recife 0 16.4% 10.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNautico RecifeBrusque
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack38%63%
Defense38%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nautico Recife Brusque
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins50%42%46%46%36%42%
Draws25%42%33%15%18%17%
Loses25%17%21%38%45%42%

Form: Nautico Recife: LDLDWWLDWWDDWWWWWDWWLLDD • Brusque: DWWDLWWLDLLWLWDLLWWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Nautico Recife Brusque
HATHAT
GF total131528121325
GF avg1.11.31.20.91.21.0
GA total5712111223
GA avg0.40.60.50.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNautico RecifeBrusque
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%38%63%58%
1.533%13%25%29%
2.513%0%13%4%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNautico RecifeBrusque
HATHAT
Clean sheets87156410
Failed to score628549

Penalties

MetricNautico RecifeBrusque
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNautico RecifeBrusque
Wins52
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-01-4
Biggest losses0-22-10-24-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricNautico RecifeBrusque
Form45%55%
Att38%63%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total59.2%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nautico Recife or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away7.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nautico Recife = 1.19 (league 1.02), Brusque = 0.62 (league 0.77)

Brusque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nautico Recife 0 16.4% 10.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1