Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:30 • Princess Margaret Way
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.66) 0.92 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 38.8% 51.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
0 - 1
29.0%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afan Lido 0 31.6% 29.0% 13.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.4% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAfan LidoBaglan Dragons
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack43%43%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Afan Lido Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
Played3696410
Wins0%33%22%17%0%10%
Draws0%17%11%67%25%50%
Loses100%50%67%17%75%40%

Form: Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLD • Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLD

League goals

Metric Afan Lido Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
GF total1898210
GF avg0.31.31.01.30.51.0
GA total810186511
GA avg2.71.72.01.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAfan LidoBaglan Dragons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%89%60%70%
1.533%44%20%30%
2.511%44%20%10%
3.511%22%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAfan LidoBaglan Dragons
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricAfan LidoBaglan Dragons
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAfan LidoBaglan Dragons
Wins11
Draws03
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-43-0—
Biggest losses0-44-00-12-1
Goals For1431
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricAfan LidoBaglan Dragons
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Baglan Dragons and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.51 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Afan Lido = 0.23 (league 1.66), Baglan Dragons = 0.92 (league 1.47)

Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afan Lido 0 31.6% 29.0% 13.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.4% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1