Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:30 •
Drahovice UMT
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.87)
0.94 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 25.0% | 22.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mariánské Lázně | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Karlovy Vary | 0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 69% |
| Defense | 50% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
Form: Karlovy Vary: DWDLLWWD • Mariánské Lázně: LWDWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 88% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 38% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Karlovy Vary | Mariánské Lázně |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Karlovy Vary or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Karlovy Vary = 1.60 (league 1.87), Mariánské Lázně = 0.94 (league 1.44)
| Mariánské Lázně | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Karlovy Vary | 0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 22.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1