Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • AlbinoLeffe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.29) 1.44 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 26.3% 44.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albinoleffe 0 8.0% 11.5% 8.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlbinoleffeNovara
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack83%25%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Albinoleffe Novara
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%0%0%0%
Draws33%33%33%67%100%83%
Loses33%33%33%33%0%17%

Form: Albinoleffe: DLLDWW • Novara: DDDDLD

League goals

Metric Albinoleffe Novara
HATHAT
GF total6612224
GF avg2.02.02.00.70.70.7
GA total6410325
GA avg2.01.31.71.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlbinoleffeNovara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%67%83%
1.583%67%0%0%
2.517%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlbinoleffeNovara
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricAlbinoleffeNovara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlbinoleffeNovara
Wins00
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3——
Biggest losses2-32-10-1—
Goals For2311
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricAlbinoleffeNovara
Form64%36%
Att77%23%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Albinoleffe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Albinoleffe = 1.08 (league 1.29), Novara = 1.44 (league 0.97)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albinoleffe 0 8.0% 11.5% 8.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 44.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1