Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.43) 0.26 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 45.6% 12.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.4%
1 - 0
26.8%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cabeza Buey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 38.4% 10.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta AmaliaCabeza Buey
Played33
Form67%22%
Attack30%30%
Defense90%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Amalia Cabeza Buey
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%67%
Loses0%50%33%0%100%33%

Form: Santa Amalia: WWL • Cabeza Buey: DLD

League goals

Metric Santa Amalia Cabeza Buey
HATHAT
GF total123303
GF avg1.01.01.01.50.01.0
GA total011314
GA avg0.00.50.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta AmaliaCabeza Buey
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%100%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta AmaliaCabeza Buey
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricSanta AmaliaCabeza Buey
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta AmaliaCabeza Buey
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-2——
Biggest losses—1-0—1-0
Goals For1220
Goals Against0121

Model comparison

MetricSanta AmaliaCabeza Buey
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.3%31.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 0.70 (league 1.43), Cabeza Buey = 0.26 (league 1.16)

Cabeza Buey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 38.4% 10.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 45.6% · Away win 12.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1