Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • LNK Sporta Parks
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.82 (league 1.66) 0.85 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 13.4% 8.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
BFC Daugavpils
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS 0 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.7% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack65%43%
Defense61%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rīgas FS BFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
Played141428141529
Wins86%71%79%64%20%41%
Draws0%7%4%7%40%24%
Loses14%21%18%29%40%34%

Form: Rīgas FS: WWWWLWWWLWDWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWL • BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Rīgas FS BFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
GF total373572281846
GF avg2.62.52.62.01.21.6
GA total121729222749
GA avg0.91.21.01.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%68%90%79%
1.564%25%41%45%
2.536%7%21%17%
3.532%4%7%14%
4.518%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
Clean sheets639426
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricRīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total39

Streaks

MetricRīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
Wins92
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-73-01-3
Biggest losses1-43-11-75-1
Goals For6743
Goals Against4375

Model comparison

MetricRīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals84%16%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rīgas FS or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Unibet
Draw8.29 @ Pinnacle
Away17.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rīgas FS = 2.82 (league 1.66), BFC Daugavpils = 0.85 (league 1.27)

BFC Daugavpils
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS 0 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.7% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1