Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.12) 3.08 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 15.9% 54.6%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.7%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Miramar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro 0 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 1.8%
1 1.4% 4.3% 6.5% 6.7% 5.2% 3.2%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8%
3 0.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerroMiramar
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack28%56%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerro Miramar
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%33%50%43%
Draws0%25%14%33%0%14%
Loses67%50%57%33%50%43%

Form: Cerro: DLWWLLL • Miramar: WLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Cerro Miramar
HATHAT
GF total3364913
GF avg1.00.80.91.32.31.9
GA total46102810
GA avg1.31.51.40.72.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerroMiramar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%86%86%
1.529%29%57%43%
2.50%14%43%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerroMiramar
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricCerroMiramar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCerroMiramar
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-25-10-13-2
Goals For2233
Goals Against2513

Model comparison

MetricCerroMiramar
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total34.7%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Miramar

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerro = 1.79 (league 1.12), Miramar = 3.08 (league 0.97)

Miramar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro 0 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 1.8%
1 1.4% 4.3% 6.5% 6.7% 5.2% 3.2%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8%
3 0.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 54.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1