Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 •
Keys Park
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48)
1.01 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
13.2%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hednesford Town | 0 | 10.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Hednesford Town: WWWLLDDWW • Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 78% | 22% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 22% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gainsborough Trinity and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hednesford Town = 1.22 (league 1.48), Gainsborough Trinity = 1.01 (league 1.19)
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hednesford Town | 0 | 10.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 30.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1