Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.32) 1.20 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 30.5% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 15.2% 18.3% 11.0% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraVirtus Verona
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack67%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Virtus Verona
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins20%0%10%0%50%20%
Draws60%80%70%67%0%40%
Loses20%20%20%33%50%40%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDW • Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLL

League goals

Metric Novara Virtus Verona
HATHAT
GF total3476814
GF avg0.60.80.71.02.01.4
GA total3588614
GA avg0.61.00.81.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraVirtus Verona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%90%90%
1.510%10%40%40%
2.50%10%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraVirtus Verona
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricNovaraVirtus Verona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNovaraVirtus Verona
Wins01
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——1-3
Biggest losses0-13-21-23-2
Goals For1223
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricNovaraVirtus Verona
Form55%45%
Att36%64%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Verona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away4.00 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.68 (league 1.32), Virtus Verona = 1.20 (league 1.00)

Virtus Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 15.2% 18.3% 11.0% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1