Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:15 •
Fouad Shehab Stadium
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.37)
0.41 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.2% | 19.4% | 7.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
18.0%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Bourj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Nejmeh | 0 | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 44% |
| Attack | 38% | 19% |
| Defense | 88% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% | — | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | — | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | — | 33% |
Form: Al Nejmeh: WWW • Bourj: LDW
League goals
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Nejmeh | Bourj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Nejmeh | Bourj |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Al Nejmeh or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Nejmeh = 1.89 (league 1.37), Bourj = 0.41 (league 1.23)
| Bourj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Nejmeh | 0 | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.2% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 7.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1