Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:30 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.62) 5.18 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.9% 4.7% 50.7%
best score tips
1 - 5
6.3%
1 - 4
6.1%
0 - 5
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Lucía
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sirens 0 0.2% 0.8% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 5.1%
1 0.2% 1.0% 2.7% 4.7% 6.1% 6.3%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSirensSanta Lucía
Played33
Form67%44%
Attack26%47%
Defense84%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.79 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sirens Santa Lucía
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%100%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses100%0%33%0%100%33%

Form: Sirens: WLW • Santa Lucía: WLD

League goals

Metric Sirens Santa Lucía
HATHAT
GF total145909
GF avg1.02.01.74.50.03.0
GA total303224
GA avg3.00.01.01.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSirensSanta Lucía
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%67%67%
1.533%33%67%67%
2.533%33%33%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSirensSanta Lucía
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSirensSanta Lucía
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSirensSanta Lucía
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-37-0
Biggest losses1-32-0
Goals For1370
Goals Against3022

Model comparison

MetricSirensSanta Lucía
Form60%40%
Att36%64%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total54.6%45.4%

Advice: Double chance : Sirens or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.77 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Superbet
No2.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sirens = 1.24 (league 1.62), Santa Lucía = 5.18 (league 1.74)

Santa Lucía
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sirens 0 0.2% 0.8% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 5.1%
1 0.2% 1.0% 2.7% 4.7% 6.1% 6.3%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.9% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 50.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1