Serie A — Italy
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 0.19 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 48.8% 9.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.4%
1 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 43.4% 8.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaParma
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack50%17%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Parma
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%100%75%25%0%13%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses50%0%25%25%50%38%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLW • Parma: LDLDWLDD

League goals

Metric AS Roma Parma
HATHAT
GF total358303
GF avg0.81.31.00.80.00.4
GA total213347
GA avg0.50.30.40.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%38%25%63%
1.525%0%13%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score202246

Penalties

MetricAS RomaParma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAS RomaParma
Wins31
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-1—
Biggest losses0-1—0-12-0
Goals For2220
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaParma
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals79%21%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AS Roma or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.35 @ 1xBet
Away8.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 0.65 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.19 (league 1.05)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 43.4% 8.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 48.8% · Away win 9.6%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1