Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.05) 1.05 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 18.7% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
La Luz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Maldonado 0 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.1% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoLa Luz
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack100%71%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Maldonado La Luz
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%44%45%19%13%16%
Draws20%31%26%44%53%48%
Loses33%25%29%38%33%35%

Form: Deportivo Maldonado: WWLDWDDLDDWDLWWDDWWLWWLLLLWWWLW • La Luz: DDLDLDLDDLLDDLDLWDLLLDWDLWDWWDD

League goals

Metric Deportivo Maldonado La Luz
HATHAT
GF total231639151732
GF avg1.51.01.30.91.11.0
GA total131225212445
GA avg0.90.80.81.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MaldonadoLa Luz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%55%68%77%
1.532%16%26%42%
2.516%6%6%16%
3.56%3%3%10%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoLa Luz
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714437
Failed to score65114610

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoLa Luz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoLa Luz
Wins32
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-44-0
Goals For6324
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoLa Luz
Form57%43%
Att69%31%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h64%36%
Goals50%50%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Winner : Deportivo Maldonado

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Maldonado = 2.29 (league 1.05), La Luz = 1.05 (league 0.94)

La Luz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Maldonado 0 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.1% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1