Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.63) 2.72 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 17.7% 52.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownBriton Ferry
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack50%20%
Defense10%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town Briton Ferry
HATHAT
Played68147613
Wins50%50%50%0%50%23%
Draws0%38%21%29%33%31%
Loses50%13%29%71%17%46%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDW • Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town Briton Ferry
HATHAT
GF total13193241317
GF avg2.22.42.30.62.21.3
GA total10112114822
GA avg1.71.41.52.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownBriton Ferry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%69%77%
1.564%50%38%62%
2.529%14%15%15%
3.521%0%8%8%
4.521%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownBriton Ferry
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score112404

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownBriton Ferry
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownBriton Ferry
Wins31
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-5—0-3
Biggest losses0-31-02-52-1
Goals For6524
Goals Against3252

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownBriton Ferry
Form50%50%
Att71%29%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h100%0%
Goals69%31%
Total55.4%44.6%

Advice: Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw5.99 @ Pinnacle
Away9.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 1.75 (league 1.63), Briton Ferry = 2.72 (league 1.38)

Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1