Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.23) 0.84 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 22.6% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 7.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricL'AquilaVigor Senigallia
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%33%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric L'Aquila Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%20%56%0%75%33%
Draws0%40%22%60%0%33%
Loses0%40%22%40%25%33%

Form: L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWD

League goals

Metric L'Aquila Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
GF total11819358
GF avg2.81.62.10.61.30.9
GA total39127310
GA avg0.81.81.31.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineL'AquilaVigor Senigallia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%67%78%
1.556%33%22%22%
2.533%11%0%11%
3.511%11%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricL'AquilaVigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricL'AquilaVigor Senigallia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricL'AquilaVigor Senigallia
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-3—1-2
Biggest losses—4-11-31-0
Goals For5312
Goals Against1431

Model comparison

MetricL'AquilaVigor Senigallia
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : L'Aquila or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 1.82 (league 1.23), Vigor Senigallia = 0.84 (league 1.23)

Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 7.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1