Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Campeones del 36
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.45) 0.85 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 30.2% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Grau 0 13.4% 11.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico GrauAlianza Atletico
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack31%38%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Grau Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins44%13%28%65%25%45%
Draws38%25%31%12%19%15%
Loses19%63%41%24%56%39%

Form: Atletico Grau: WLLWDDDDLDDWWDLLWLWLDLLLWWDWLDLL • Alianza Atletico: LWLWDLLWWWWWWWLWLWDDDLWLLDWLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Atletico Grau Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
GF total221739251439
GF avg1.41.11.21.50.91.2
GA total142842111930
GA avg0.91.81.30.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico GrauAlianza Atletico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%61%58%
1.538%41%36%24%
2.513%16%15%6%
3.50%3%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico GrauAlianza Atletico
HATHAT
Clean sheets72910414
Failed to score4595813

Penalties

MetricAtletico GrauAlianza Atletico
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total83

Streaks

MetricAtletico GrauAlianza Atletico
Wins27
Draws43
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-12-4
Biggest losses0-23-02-42-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricAtletico GrauAlianza Atletico
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alianza Atletico and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.79 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Grau = 1.16 (league 1.45), Alianza Atletico = 0.85 (league 0.95)

Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Grau 0 13.4% 11.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1