Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 19:00 • De Herdgang
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.78) 1.23 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 23.3% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV U21 0 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong PSV U21Willem II
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack33%33%
Defense48%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong PSV U21 Willem II
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins50%43%46%50%43%46%
Draws17%29%23%17%29%23%
Loses33%29%31%33%29%31%

Form: Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLL • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Jong PSV U21 Willem II
HATHAT
GF total9162571017
GF avg1.52.31.91.21.41.3
GA total7142161521
GA avg1.22.01.61.02.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong PSV U21Willem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%85%77%
1.569%46%38%46%
2.531%23%8%15%
3.58%8%0%15%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong PSV U21Willem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricJong PSV U21Willem II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricJong PSV U21Willem II
Wins53
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-42-12-3
Biggest losses0-35-31-25-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against3525

Model comparison

MetricJong PSV U21Willem II
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : Jong PSV U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ 10Bet
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ Pinnacle
No3.20 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong PSV U21 = 1.77 (league 1.78), Willem II = 1.23 (league 1.37)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV U21 0 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 26.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1