Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:15 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.66) 2.63 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 18.2% 50.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
1 2.1% 5.6% 7.4% 6.5% 4.3% 2.3%
2 1.9% 5.1% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 2.0%
3 1.2% 3.0% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack75%40%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Penybont
HATHAT
Played68147815
Wins33%63%50%57%63%60%
Draws33%25%29%0%25%13%
Loses33%13%21%43%13%27%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDW • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLW

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Penybont
HATHAT
GF total121426101626
GF avg2.01.81.91.42.01.7
GA total1161761218
GA avg1.80.81.20.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%67%53%
1.550%36%53%33%
2.550%21%27%13%
3.50%0%20%7%
4.50%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets145347
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Wins34
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-4
Biggest losses1-33-00-26-2
Goals For3354
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away3.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Unibet
No2.16 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 1.80 (league 1.66), Penybont = 2.63 (league 1.37)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
1 2.1% 5.6% 7.4% 6.5% 4.3% 2.3%
2 1.9% 5.1% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 2.0%
3 1.2% 3.0% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 50.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1