Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:45 • Exbud Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.69) 0.45 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 27.1% 11.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 15.6% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 9.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKorona KielceRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack36%50%
Defense64%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Korona Kielce Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played68146713
Wins67%13%36%33%57%46%
Draws17%50%36%33%0%15%
Loses17%38%29%33%43%38%

Form: Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWDWLDLD • Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Korona Kielce Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total106168816
GF avg1.70.81.11.31.11.2
GA total391271017
GA avg0.51.10.91.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKorona KielceRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%57%77%77%
1.529%21%38%46%
2.521%7%8%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKorona KielceRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets426123
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricKorona KielceRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricKorona KielceRaków Częstochowa
Wins32
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-23-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricKorona KielceRaków Częstochowa
Form29%71%
Att42%58%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total44.2%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Korona Kielce = 1.41 (league 1.69), Raków Częstochowa = 0.45 (league 1.23)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 15.6% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 9.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1