Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.54) 0.94 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 25.5% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 8.3% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.9% 12.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham ForestLeeds
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack11%28%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest Leeds
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%0%10%40%20%30%
Draws20%40%30%40%0%20%
Loses60%60%60%20%80%50%

Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLD • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWL

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest Leeds
HATHAT
GF total527639
GF avg1.00.40.71.20.60.9
GA total1091951217
GA avg2.01.81.91.02.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham ForestLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%100%50%80%
1.520%60%30%50%
2.510%30%10%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham ForestLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score336145

Penalties

MetricNottingham ForestLeeds
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNottingham ForestLeeds
Wins11
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-25-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricNottingham ForestLeeds
Form20%80%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leeds

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ 1xBet
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.55 (league 1.54), Leeds = 0.94 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 8.3% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.9% 12.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 69 , Vtod1