Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:45 •
Parkside Stadium
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.67)
1.50 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.9% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aveley | 0 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 60% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 25% | 83% | 50% | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 17% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 14% | 86% | 75% | 80% |
Form: Aveley: DWDLWDLDWWDWWW • Welling United: LLLWLLWLLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aveley | Welling United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 71% | 73% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 36% | 27% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 21% | 7% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aveley | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 76% | 24% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Aveley or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aveley = 2.76 (league 1.67), Welling United = 1.50 (league 1.50)
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aveley | 0 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 18.6%
Vtot 5 , Vtod1