Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.88 (league 1.55) 1.41 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 10.3% 8.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.9%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.7% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordBurnley
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack64%50%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Burnley
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%17%42%33%17%25%
Draws17%0%8%17%0%8%
Loses17%83%50%50%83%67%

Form: Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWL • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Brentford Burnley
HATHAT
GF total126185914
GF avg2.01.01.50.81.51.2
GA total7121961824
GA avg1.22.01.61.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordBurnley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%83%
1.542%58%42%67%
2.525%17%8%33%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordBurnley
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricBrentfordBurnley
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricBrentfordBurnley
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-25-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordBurnley
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Brentford or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.68 @ 1xBet
Away6.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.11 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 3.88 (league 1.55), Burnley = 1.41 (league 1.28)

Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.7% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 110 , Vtod5