Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Umuganda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.10) 0.43 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 42.0% 19.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.4%
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marines 0 31.4% 13.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 9.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarinesBugesera
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack63%50%
Defense38%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marines Bugesera
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%50%50%40%0%22%
Draws0%0%0%20%75%44%
Loses50%50%50%40%25%33%

Form: Marines: WWLLLWWL • Bugesera: WDDDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Marines Bugesera
HATHAT
GF total459426
GF avg1.01.31.10.80.50.7
GA total336437
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarinesBugesera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%56%44%
1.538%25%11%22%
2.50%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarinesBugesera
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricMarinesBugesera
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMarinesBugesera
Wins21
Draws03
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-21-0—
Biggest losses1-22-12-32-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricMarinesBugesera
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Marines or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marines = 0.73 (league 1.10), Bugesera = 0.43 (league 0.93)

Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marines 0 31.4% 13.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 9.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 42.0% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1