Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.31) 0.76 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 35.5% 30.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ostia Mare
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 20.5% 15.6% 6.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricL'AquilaOstia Mare
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense45%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric L'Aquila Ostia Mare
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins100%29%64%71%100%86%
Draws0%29%14%29%0%14%
Loses0%43%21%0%0%0%

Form: L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWWW • Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric L'Aquila Ostia Mare
HATHAT
GF total191231161632
GF avg2.71.72.22.32.32.3
GA total31518336
GA avg0.42.11.30.40.40.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineL'AquilaOstia Mare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%64%86%43%
1.564%29%71%0%
2.536%14%43%0%
3.514%14%7%0%
4.57%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricL'AquilaOstia Mare
HATHAT
Clean sheets415448
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricL'AquilaOstia Mare
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricL'AquilaOstia Mare
Wins39
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-37-00-3
Biggest losses—5-2——
Goals For5373
Goals Against1511

Model comparison

MetricL'AquilaOstia Mare
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ostia Mare

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away2.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 0.82 (league 1.31), Ostia Mare = 0.76 (league 1.21)

Ostia Mare
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 20.5% 15.6% 6.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1