Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 •
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.61)
2.07 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | 21.2% | 51.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Warrenpoint Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Institute | 0 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 25% |
| Attack | 27% | 27% |
| Defense | 68% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 9 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Institute: LDWL • Warrenpoint Town: WLLL
League goals
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Institute | Warrenpoint Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 3-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Institute | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Warrenpoint Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Institute = 1.39 (league 1.61), Warrenpoint Town = 2.07 (league 1.45)
| Warrenpoint Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Institute | 0 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 51.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1