Pure statistical evidence

Best Statistical Away Win Matches Today

This away-win evidence view highlights fixtures where the away side has statistical support. It uses away-role performance, home-side weakness, recent 30-day evidence, league context, sample strength and odds signals.

Statistical evidence viewOpen FootyWow model probabilities

Market context

Historical market context for the selected statistical angle. Use this to see where the market has been strongest before reading today’s fixture cards.

Historical context

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PeriodViewContinentCountryMarket Type

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#	Country / League	Played	Selected market %	Confidence	BTTS	O2.5	U2.5	Home / Draw / Away	Avg goals	Sample
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This is historical context, not a direct prediction probability. Raw percentages are shown, while sorting uses a confidence score adjusted for sample size.

How this statistical page is calculated

The main score is a pure statistical support index from current-season statistics.
FootyWow model values are shown only as a cross-check and are not part of the statistical score.
Samples come from played fixtures: home/away role sample, total season sample, and last 30 days sample.
Fixtures are filtered to the strongest statistical candidates for this market.

Best Statistical Away Win Matches Today

Fixtures are filtered to the strongest statistical candidates and sorted by statistical score.

Serie A Brazil

20:30 UTCNS

BahiavsBotafogo

Statistical Score for Away Win32

Score breakdown

Away team away-win rate38

Weight 30%Away team's current-season away win rate.

Home team home-loss rate25

Weight 25%Home team's current-season home loss rate.

Away team total win rate40

Weight 12%Away team's full-season win rate.

Home team total loss rate27

Weight 10%Home team's full-season loss rate.

Goal-difference support39

Weight 8%Role-based goal-difference support.

Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support0

Weight 5%Away clean-sheet and home failed-to-score support.

League context25

Weight 6%Market support from the league context score.

Country context30

Weight 2%Lower-weight country context score.

Sample strength64

Weight 2%Confidence from role and total season sample size.

Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.

Score driversWhat supports the main score

Home team25

Low

Away team38

Low

League25

Low

Country30

Low

The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.

Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices

Home1.95

Draw3.40

Away3.75

Samples used (played fixtures)

Home/Away role sampleHome: 8Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2

Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is similar to the season pattern.

FootyWow model agrees38%

See Fixture

Serie A Brazil

19:00 UTCNS

FlamengovsCoritiba

Statistical Score for Away Win25

Score breakdown

Away team away-win rate44

Weight 30%Away team's current-season away win rate.

Home team home-loss rate0

Weight 25%Home team's current-season home loss rate.

Away team total win rate38

Weight 12%Away team's full-season win rate.

Home team total loss rate13

Weight 10%Home team's full-season loss rate.

Goal-difference support25

Weight 8%Role-based goal-difference support.

Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support17

Weight 5%Away clean-sheet and home failed-to-score support.

League context25

Weight 6%Market support from the league context score.

Country context30

Weight 2%Lower-weight country context score.

Sample strength64

Weight 2%Confidence from role and total season sample size.

Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.

Score driversWhat supports the main score

Home team0

Low

Away team44

Weak

League25

Low

Country30

Low

The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.

Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices

Home1.28

Draw5.00

Away9.50

Samples used (played fixtures)

Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 9Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2

Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is stronger than the season pattern.

FootyWow model agrees27%

See Fixture

Serie A Brazil

20:30 UTCNS

GremiovsCorinthians

Statistical Score for Away Win21

Score breakdown

Away team away-win rate12

Weight 30%Away team's current-season away win rate.

Home team home-loss rate14

Weight 25%Home team's current-season home loss rate.

Away team total win rate25

Weight 12%Away team's full-season win rate.

Home team total loss rate38

Weight 10%Home team's full-season loss rate.

Goal-difference support28

Weight 8%Role-based goal-difference support.

Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support33

Weight 5%Away clean-sheet and home failed-to-score support.

League context25

Weight 6%Market support from the league context score.

Country context30

Weight 2%Lower-weight country context score.

Sample strength68

Weight 2%Confidence from role and total season sample size.

Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.

Score driversWhat supports the main score

Home team14

Low

Away team12

Low

League25

Low

Country30

Low

The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.

Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices

Home2.20

Draw3.25

Away3.30

Samples used (played fixtures)

Home/Away role sampleHome: 7Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 1

Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is stronger than the season pattern.

FootyWow model agrees26%

See Fixture

Serie A Brazil

19:00 UTCNS

Atletico ParanaensevsMirassol

Statistical Score for Away Win18

Score breakdown

Away team away-win rate14

Weight 30%Away team's current-season away win rate.

Home team home-loss rate11

Weight 25%Home team's current-season home loss rate.

Away team total win rate20

Weight 12%Away team's full-season win rate.

Home team total loss rate38

Weight 10%Home team's full-season loss rate.

Goal-difference support17

Weight 8%Role-based goal-difference support.

Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support11

Weight 5%Away clean-sheet and home failed-to-score support.

League context25

Weight 6%Market support from the league context score.

Country context30

Weight 2%Lower-weight country context score.

Sample strength64

Weight 2%Confidence from role and total season sample size.

Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.

Score driversWhat supports the main score

Home team11

Low

Away team14

Low

League25

Low

Country30

Low

The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.

Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices

Home1.85

Draw3.30

Away4.33

Samples used (played fixtures)

Home/Away role sampleHome: 9Away: 7Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 1

Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is weaker than the season pattern.

FootyWow model agrees20%

See Fixture

Data product: /nodeapp/cache/2026-05-30/statistical-pages-v4-render-lab/away_win.json