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Pure statistical evidence

Best Statistical Draw Matches Today

This draw evidence view highlights fixtures where the statistical profile supports a balanced match. It looks at draw rates, role-based win/loss balance, recent 30-day evidence, league draw context, sample strength and odds signals.

Statistical evidence viewOpen FootyWow model probabilities

Market context

Historical market context for the selected statistical angle. Use this to see where the market has been strongest before reading today’s fixture cards.

Historical context
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#Country / LeaguePlayedSelected market %ConfidenceBTTSO2.5U2.5Home / Draw / AwayAvg goalsSample
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This is historical context, not a direct prediction probability. Raw percentages are shown, while sorting uses a confidence score adjusted for sample size.

How this statistical page is calculated

Best Statistical Draw Matches Today

Fixtures are filtered to the strongest statistical candidates and sorted by statistical score.

Serie ABrazil
20:30 UTCNS
GremiovsCorinthians
Statistical Score for Draw42
Score breakdown
Home team home-draw rate29
Weight 25%Home team's current-season home draw rate.
Away team away-draw rate50
Weight 25%Away team's current-season away draw rate.
Total-team draw rates38
Weight 15%Both teams' full-season draw tendency.
Close-strength support71
Weight 10%Closer teams support draw tendency.
Low-goal support34
Weight 8%Lower goal profiles support draw tendency.
League context25
Weight 8%Market support from the league context score.
Country context27
Weight 4%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength68
Weight 5%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team29
Low
Away team50
Moderate
League25
Low
Country27
Low
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Home2.20
Draw3.25
Away3.30
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 7Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is weaker than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees29%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
20:30 UTCNS
BahiavsBotafogo
Statistical Score for Draw35
Score breakdown
Home team home-draw rate50
Weight 25%Home team's current-season home draw rate.
Away team away-draw rate12
Weight 25%Away team's current-season away draw rate.
Total-team draw rates27
Weight 15%Both teams' full-season draw tendency.
Close-strength support85
Weight 10%Closer teams support draw tendency.
Low-goal support8
Weight 8%Lower goal profiles support draw tendency.
League context25
Weight 8%Market support from the league context score.
Country context27
Weight 4%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 5%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team50
Moderate
Away team12
Low
League25
Low
Country27
Low
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Home1.95
Draw3.40
Away3.75
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 8Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is stronger than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees26%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
19:00 UTCNS
FlamengovsCoritiba
Statistical Score for Draw31
Score breakdown
Home team home-draw rate33
Weight 25%Home team's current-season home draw rate.
Away team away-draw rate22
Weight 25%Away team's current-season away draw rate.
Total-team draw rates29
Weight 15%Both teams' full-season draw tendency.
Close-strength support54
Weight 10%Closer teams support draw tendency.
Low-goal support14
Weight 8%Lower goal profiles support draw tendency.
League context25
Weight 8%Market support from the league context score.
Country context27
Weight 4%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 5%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team33
Low
Away team22
Low
League25
Low
Country27
Low
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Home1.28
Draw5.00
Away9.50
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 9Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is similar to the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees26%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
19:00 UTCNS
Atletico ParanaensevsMirassol
Statistical Score for Draw25
Score breakdown
Home team home-draw rate22
Weight 25%Home team's current-season home draw rate.
Away team away-draw rate14
Weight 25%Away team's current-season away draw rate.
Total-team draw rates23
Weight 15%Both teams' full-season draw tendency.
Close-strength support43
Weight 10%Closer teams support draw tendency.
Low-goal support21
Weight 8%Lower goal profiles support draw tendency.
League context25
Weight 8%Market support from the league context score.
Country context27
Weight 4%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 5%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team22
Low
Away team14
Low
League25
Low
Country27
Low
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Home1.85
Draw3.30
Away4.33
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 9Away: 7Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent form is stronger than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees25%
See Fixture
Data product: /nodeapp/cache/2026-05-30/statistical-pages-v4-render-lab/draw.json