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Pure statistical evidence

Best Statistical Over 2.5 Goals Matches Today

This goals-heavy evidence view highlights fixtures where the statistical profile supports Over 2.5 goals. The ranking looks at scoring and conceding rates, recent 30-day goal trends, league and country goal context, sample strength and odds signals.

Statistical evidence viewOpen FootyWow model probabilities

Market context

Historical market context for the selected statistical angle. Use this to see where the market has been strongest before reading today’s fixture cards.

Historical context
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#Country / LeaguePlayedSelected market %ConfidenceBTTSO2.5U2.5Home / Draw / AwayAvg goalsSample
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This is historical context, not a direct prediction probability. Raw percentages are shown, while sorting uses a confidence score adjusted for sample size.

How this statistical page is calculated

Best Statistical Over 2.5 Goals Matches Today

Fixtures are filtered to the strongest statistical candidates and sorted by statistical score.

Serie ABrazil
20:30 UTCNS
BahiavsBotafogo
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals79
Score breakdown
Role goal volume87
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 3.19.
Role scoring/conceding support91
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume88
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 3.23.
Total-team scoring/conceding support87
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context52
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team75
Strong
Away team99
Very strong
League52
Moderate
Country45
Weak
Team-level support is the main driver. League and country context are lighter.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.80
Under 2.52.00
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 8Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees58%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
19:00 UTCNS
FlamengovsCoritiba
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals73
Score breakdown
Role goal volume84
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.92.
Role scoring/conceding support74
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume74
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.62.
Total-team scoring/conceding support74
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context52
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team81
Very strong
Away team86
Very strong
League52
Moderate
Country45
Weak
Team-level support is the main driver. League and country context are lighter.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.30
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 9Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees52%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
19:00 UTCNS
Atletico ParanaensevsMirassol
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals69
Score breakdown
Role goal volume74
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.58.
Role scoring/conceding support75
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume72
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.52.
Total-team scoring/conceding support78
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context52
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team70
Strong
Away team77
Strong
League52
Moderate
Country45
Weak
The score is supported by solid team statistics with mixed context.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.25
Under 2.51.62
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 9Away: 7Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees49%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
20:30 UTCNS
GremiovsCorinthians
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals61
Score breakdown
Role goal volume63
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.21.
Role scoring/conceding support66
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume59
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.06.
Total-team scoring/conceding support66
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context52
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength68
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team69
Good support
Away team57
Moderate
League52
Moderate
Country45
Weak
The score is supported by solid team statistics with mixed context.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.10
Under 2.51.70
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 7Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees44%
See Fixture
EliteserienNorway
14:00 UTCNS
MoldevsSandefjord
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals70
Score breakdown
Role goal volume80
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.8.
Role scoring/conceding support75
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume68
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.39.
Total-team scoring/conceding support67
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context54
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context71
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength54
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team86
Very strong
Away team74
Strong
League54
Moderate
Country71
Strong
Team-level support is the main driver. League and country context are lighter.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.44
Under 2.52.70
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 5Away: 5Total season sampleHome: 9Away: 9Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees50%
See Fixture
1. DivisionDenmark
13:00 UTCNS
AalborgvsHB Koge
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals83
Score breakdown
Role goal volume96
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 3.37.
Role scoring/conceding support82
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume86
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 3.02.
Total-team scoring/conceding support78
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context54
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength88
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team95
Very strong
Away team97
Very strong
League54
Moderate
Country55
Moderate
Team-level support is the main driver. League and country context are lighter.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.53
Under 2.52.30
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 15Away: 15Total season sampleHome: 31Away: 30Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees58%
See Fixture
1. DivisionDenmark
13:00 UTCNS
HobrovsMiddelfart
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals77
Score breakdown
Role goal volume84
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.94.
Role scoring/conceding support73
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume84
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.96.
Total-team scoring/conceding support74
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context54
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength88
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team74
Strong
Away team93
Very strong
League54
Moderate
Country55
Moderate
Team-level support is the main driver. League and country context are lighter.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.70
Under 2.52.00
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 15Away: 15Total season sampleHome: 30Away: 31Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees53%
See Fixture
1. DivisionDenmark
13:00 UTCNS
B 93vsAarhus Fremad
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals74
Score breakdown
Role goal volume74
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.57.
Role scoring/conceding support73
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume84
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.95.
Total-team scoring/conceding support75
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context54
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength88
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team76
Strong
Away team71
Strong
League54
Moderate
Country55
Moderate
The score is supported by solid team statistics with mixed context.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.55
Under 2.51.15
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 15Away: 15Total season sampleHome: 31Away: 31Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees50%
See Fixture
Segunda DivisiónSpain
14:15 UTCNS
AD Ceuta FCvsAlbacete
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals71
Score breakdown
Role goal volume70
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.45.
Role scoring/conceding support70
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume78
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.71.
Total-team scoring/conceding support73
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context51
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context51
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength99
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team71
Strong
Away team69
Good support
League51
Moderate
Country51
Moderate
The score is supported by solid team statistics with mixed context.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.51.87
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 20Away: 20Total season sampleHome: 40Away: 40Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees49%
See Fixture
Primera DivisiónChile
00:30 UTCNS
Universidad de ConcepcionvsUnion La Calera
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals66
Score breakdown
Role goal volume66
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.33.
Role scoring/conceding support67
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume77
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.69.
Total-team scoring/conceding support72
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context50
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context49
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team57
Moderate
Away team76
Strong
League50
Moderate
Country49
Weak
The score is supported by solid team statistics with mixed context.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.01
Under 2.51.78
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 6Total season sampleHome: 13Away: 12Last 30 days sampleHome: 0Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees47%
See Fixture
Primera DivisiónChile
19:00 UTCNS
D. La SerenavsColo Colo
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals60
Score breakdown
Role goal volume54
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 1.92.
Role scoring/conceding support64
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume74
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 2.58.
Total-team scoring/conceding support67
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context50
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context49
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team52
Moderate
Away team57
Moderate
League50
Moderate
Country49
Weak
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.88
Under 2.51.95
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 5Total season sampleHome: 12Away: 12Last 30 days sampleHome: 0Away: 0
Last 30 days vs seasonNo recent comparison available
FootyWow model agrees42%
See Fixture
Primera DivisiónChile
21:30 UTCNS
Universidad de ChilevsConcepción
Statistical Score for Over 2.5 Goals57
Score breakdown
Role goal volume60
Weight 35%Home/away role goal average: 2.1.
Role scoring/conceding support62
Weight 10%Teams regularly scoring and conceding supports higher goal volume.
Total-team goal volume54
Weight 20%Full-season team goal average: 1.88.
Total-team scoring/conceding support58
Weight 10%Full-season scoring/conceding profile.
League context50
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context49
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team63
Good support
Away team57
Moderate
League50
Moderate
Country49
Weak
The score is supported by solid team statistics with mixed context.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.71
Under 2.52.18
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 5Away: 7Total season sampleHome: 12Away: 12Last 30 days sampleHome: 0Away: 0
Last 30 days vs seasonNo recent comparison available
FootyWow model agrees41%
See Fixture
Data product: /nodeapp/cache/2026-05-30/statistical-pages-v4-render-lab/over25.json