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Pure statistical evidence

Best Statistical Under 2.5 Goals Matches Today

This low-scoring evidence view highlights fixtures where the statistical profile supports Under 2.5 goals. The ranking looks at role-based scoring patterns, recent 30-day goal averages, league and country context, sample strength and available odds signals.

Statistical evidence viewOpen FootyWow model probabilities

Market context

Historical market context for the selected statistical angle. Use this to see where the market has been strongest before reading today’s fixture cards.

Historical context
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#Country / LeaguePlayedSelected market %ConfidenceBTTSO2.5U2.5Home / Draw / AwayAvg goalsSample
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This is historical context, not a direct prediction probability. Raw percentages are shown, while sorting uses a confidence score adjusted for sample size.

How this statistical page is calculated

Best Statistical Under 2.5 Goals Matches Today

Fixtures are filtered to the strongest statistical candidates and sorted by statistical score.

Serie ABrazil
20:30 UTCNS
GremiovsCorinthians
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals39
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume31
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.21.
Low total-team goal volume36
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.06.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support34
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support34
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context48
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength68
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team32
Low
Away team34
Low
League48
Weak
Country55
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.10
Under 2.51.70
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 7Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees56%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
19:00 UTCNS
Atletico ParanaensevsMirassol
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals30
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume20
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.58.
Low total-team goal volume22
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.52.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support25
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support25
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context48
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team26
Low
Away team19
Low
League48
Weak
Country55
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.25
Under 2.51.62
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 9Away: 7Total season sampleHome: 16Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees51%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
19:00 UTCNS
FlamengovsCoritiba
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals27
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume9
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.92.
Low total-team goal volume18
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.62.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support26
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support26
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context48
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team21
Low
Away team20
Low
League48
Weak
Country55
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.30
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 9Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 16Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees48%
See Fixture
Serie ABrazil
20:30 UTCNS
BahiavsBotafogo
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals20
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume9
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 3.19.
Low total-team goal volume8
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 3.23.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support9
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support9
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context48
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context55
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team14
Low
Away team4
Low
League48
Weak
Country55
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.80
Under 2.52.00
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 8Away: 8Total season sampleHome: 15Away: 15Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees42%
See Fixture
EliteserienNorway
14:00 UTCNS
MoldevsSandefjord
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals26
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume12
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.8.
Low total-team goal volume26
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.39.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support25
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support25
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context46
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context29
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength54
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team22
Low
Away team20
Low
League46
Weak
Country29
Low
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.44
Under 2.52.70
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 5Away: 5Total season sampleHome: 9Away: 9Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees50%
See Fixture
1. DivisionDenmark
13:00 UTCNS
B 93vsAarhus Fremad
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals30
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume20
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.57.
Low total-team goal volume8
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.95.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support27
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support27
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context46
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength88
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team21
Low
Away team28
Low
League46
Weak
Country45
Weak
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.55
Under 2.51.15
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 15Away: 15Total season sampleHome: 31Away: 31Last 30 days sampleHome: 1Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees50%
See Fixture
1. DivisionDenmark
13:00 UTCNS
HobrovsMiddelfart
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals27
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume10
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.94.
Low total-team goal volume10
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.96.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support27
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support27
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context46
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength88
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team26
Low
Away team16
Low
League46
Weak
Country45
Weak
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.70
Under 2.52.00
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 15Away: 15Total season sampleHome: 30Away: 31Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees47%
See Fixture
1. DivisionDenmark
13:00 UTCNS
AalborgvsHB Koge
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals21
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume0
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 3.37.
Low total-team goal volume6
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 3.02.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support18
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support18
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context46
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context45
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength88
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team13
Low
Away team11
Low
League46
Weak
Country45
Weak
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.53
Under 2.52.30
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 15Away: 15Total season sampleHome: 31Away: 30Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are lower scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees42%
See Fixture
Segunda DivisiónSpain
14:15 UTCNS
AD Ceuta FCvsAlbacete
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals35
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume24
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.45.
Low total-team goal volume15
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.71.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support30
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support30
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context49
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context49
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength99
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team24
Low
Away team32
Low
League49
Weak
Country49
Weak
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.51.87
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 20Away: 20Total season sampleHome: 40Away: 40Last 30 days sampleHome: 2Away: 2
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees51%
See Fixture
Primera DivisiónChile
21:30 UTCNS
Universidad de ChilevsConcepción
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals42
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume34
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.1.
Low total-team goal volume42
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 1.88.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support38
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support38
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context50
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context51
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team37
Low
Away team36
Low
League50
Moderate
Country51
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.71
Under 2.52.18
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 5Away: 7Total season sampleHome: 12Away: 12Last 30 days sampleHome: 0Away: 0
Last 30 days vs seasonNo recent comparison available
FootyWow model agrees59%
See Fixture
Primera DivisiónChile
19:00 UTCNS
D. La SerenavsColo Colo
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals39
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume40
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 1.92.
Low total-team goal volume19
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.58.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support36
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support36
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context50
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context51
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team42
Weak
Away team33
Low
League50
Moderate
Country51
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.51.88
Under 2.51.95
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 5Total season sampleHome: 12Away: 12Last 30 days sampleHome: 0Away: 0
Last 30 days vs seasonNo recent comparison available
FootyWow model agrees58%
See Fixture
Primera DivisiónChile
00:30 UTCNS
Universidad de ConcepcionvsUnion La Calera
Statistical Score for Under 2.5 Goals34
Score breakdown
Low role goal volume28
Weight 30%Home/away role goal average: 2.33.
Low total-team goal volume16
Weight 15%Full-season team goal average: 2.69.
Clean-sheet / failed-to-score support33
Weight 20%Clean sheets and failed-to-score rates support lower scoring.
Low BTTS support33
Weight 10%Lower scoring/conceding overlap supports Under 2.5.
League context50
Weight 12%Market support from the league context score.
Country context51
Weight 5%Lower-weight country context score.
Sample strength64
Weight 8%Confidence from role and total season sample size.
Click on the score above to view the score breakdown.
Score driversWhat supports the main score
Home team35
Low
Away team28
Low
League50
Moderate
Country51
Moderate
The score is mainly built from the full statistical mix rather than one dominant driver.
Bet365 oddsRelevant market prices
Over 2.52.01
Under 2.51.78
Samples used (played fixtures)
Home/Away role sampleHome: 6Away: 6Total season sampleHome: 13Away: 12Last 30 days sampleHome: 0Away: 1
Last 30 days vs seasonRecent matches are higher scoring than the season pattern.
FootyWow model agrees53%
See Fixture
Data product: /nodeapp/cache/2026-05-30/statistical-pages-v4-render-lab/under25.json