J3 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 05:00 • Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.42) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 30.8% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 14.4% 11.4% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitakyushuFC Ryukyu
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack56%31%
Defense75%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitakyushu FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins38%50%44%50%13%31%
Draws25%6%16%13%31%22%
Loses38%44%41%38%56%47%

Form: Kitakyushu: WLWWLWWLDLDWWDLWLLLLWWLLDLWWLWDW • FC Ryukyu: DLLLLWDWDDLLLWLLWWLWDWDDLWWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Kitakyushu FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
GF total142236171633
GF avg0.91.41.11.11.01.0
GA total141731162844
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitakyushuFC Ryukyu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%63%66%78%
1.525%22%31%34%
2.513%9%6%19%
3.53%3%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitakyushuFC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512527
Failed to score4595611

Penalties

MetricKitakyushuFC Ryukyu
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricKitakyushuFC Ryukyu
Wins22
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-34-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricKitakyushuFC Ryukyu
Form77%23%
Att64%36%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Kitakyushu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away4.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kitakyushu = 1.14 (league 1.42), FC Ryukyu = 0.79 (league 1.14)

FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 14.4% 11.4% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1