USL League One — USA
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 19:00 • Werner Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.15) 2.01 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 17.1% 24.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
2 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Texoma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Omaha 0 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.1% 4.2% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
5 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion OmahaTexoma
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack67%33%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Omaha Texoma
HATHAT
Played81220121022
Wins50%25%35%33%20%27%
Draws25%8%15%17%50%32%
Loses25%67%50%50%30%41%

Form: Union Omaha: LWLDDLLWWLLLWLLWDLWW • Texoma: LLLLDLDWWWDWDWLDDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Union Omaha Texoma
HATHAT
GF total171128171128
GF avg2.10.91.41.41.11.3
GA total121931221638
GA avg1.51.61.61.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion OmahaTexoma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%73%82%
1.540%50%36%50%
2.515%20%18%32%
3.55%5%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion OmahaTexoma
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score044426

Penalties

MetricUnion OmahaTexoma
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricUnion OmahaTexoma
Wins23
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses3-43-00-34-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricUnion OmahaTexoma
Form71%29%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Union Omaha or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw5.27 @ Pinnacle
Away8.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No2.09 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Omaha = 2.92 (league 1.15), Texoma = 2.01 (league 0.82)

Texoma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Omaha 0 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.1% 4.2% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
5 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1