Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 02:30 • Cashman Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.17) 1.28 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 26.4% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
9.8%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lexington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Vegas Lights 0 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.6% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas Vegas LightsLexington
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack29%43%
Defense0%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Vegas Lights Lexington
HATHAT
Played12921111021
Wins33%11%24%45%20%33%
Draws17%33%24%36%30%33%
Loses50%56%52%18%50%33%

Form: Las Vegas Lights: WLDWDLWDLLLLWWLLLLDDL • Lexington: WDDLLDDLLLDLWWWDDLWWW

League goals

Metric Las Vegas Lights Lexington
HATHAT
GF total1161714923
GF avg0.90.70.81.30.91.1
GA total152439101727
GA avg1.32.71.90.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas Vegas LightsLexington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%62%76%67%
1.519%52%33%38%
2.55%33%0%14%
3.50%24%0%5%
4.50%10%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas Vegas LightsLexington
HATHAT
Clean sheets538437
Failed to score369325

Penalties

MetricLas Vegas LightsLexington
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLas Vegas LightsLexington
Wins23
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses1-46-00-25-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against4635

Model comparison

MetricLas Vegas LightsLexington
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lexington

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Las Vegas Lights = 1.31 (league 1.17), Lexington = 1.28 (league 0.91)

Lexington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Vegas Lights 0 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.6% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1