Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 00:00 • ONEOK Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.17) 1.05 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 18.6% 15.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lexington
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tulsa 0 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.0% 8.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TulsaLexington
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack31%38%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tulsa Lexington
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins58%43%50%46%23%35%
Draws25%36%31%38%23%31%
Loses17%21%19%15%54%35%

Form: FC Tulsa: WWLWLWLDWDWDDWWDWWWDWLDWDL • Lexington: WDDLLDDLLLDLWWWDDLWWWLWDWL

League goals

Metric FC Tulsa Lexington
HATHAT
GF total212041171128
GF avg1.81.41.61.30.81.1
GA total141529122032
GA avg1.21.11.10.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TulsaLexington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%73%77%69%
1.531%35%31%35%
2.519%4%0%12%
3.512%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TulsaLexington
HATHAT
Clean sheets347448
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricFC TulsaLexington
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total70

Streaks

MetricFC TulsaLexington
Wins33
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-42-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-25-1
Goals For5422
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricFC TulsaLexington
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : FC Tulsa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Superbet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tulsa = 2.31 (league 1.17), Lexington = 1.05 (league 0.91)

Lexington
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tulsa 0 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.0% 8.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 15.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1