Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 02:00 • Championship Soccer Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.17) 1.97 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 17.7% 25.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.6%
2 - 2
6.5%
3 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
El Paso Locomotive
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orange County SC 0 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.3% 6.6% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack50%50%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orange County SC El Paso Locomotive
HATHAT
Played111425141226
Wins55%14%32%43%25%35%
Draws27%21%24%29%42%35%
Loses18%64%44%29%33%31%

Form: Orange County SC: WDLLWLWLLWLWDLWWDWLDLDLDL • El Paso Locomotive: DDLWWLDWDWWDLWLLWDDWDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Orange County SC El Paso Locomotive
HATHAT
GF total271138301242
GF avg2.50.81.52.11.01.6
GA total202141221638
GA avg1.81.51.61.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%84%73%81%
1.540%48%50%42%
2.524%24%23%19%
3.516%8%8%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
HATHAT
Clean sheets134325
Failed to score257257

Penalties

MetricOrange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricOrange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
Wins22
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-10-33-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricOrange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals86%14%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Orange County SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orange County SC = 2.78 (league 1.17), El Paso Locomotive = 1.97 (league 0.91)

El Paso Locomotive
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orange County SC 0 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.3% 6.6% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1