Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 21:00 • Centreville Bank Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.17) 0.39 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 36.0% 14.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
1 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Las Vegas Lights
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rhode Island 0 25.2% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRhode IslandLas Vegas Lights
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack56%22%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rhode Island Las Vegas Lights
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins31%31%31%36%8%23%
Draws38%15%27%21%33%27%
Loses31%54%42%43%58%50%

Form: Rhode Island: LDLWLDDWWLLLWLDLDLWDLWLWWD • Las Vegas Lights: WLDWDLWDLLLLWWLLLLDDLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Rhode Island Las Vegas Lights
HATHAT
GF total7132012719
GF avg0.51.00.80.90.60.7
GA total81826152843
GA avg0.61.41.01.12.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRhode IslandLas Vegas Lights
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%62%54%58%
1.519%35%15%46%
2.58%4%4%31%
3.50%0%0%19%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRhode IslandLas Vegas Lights
HATHAT
Clean sheets64107411
Failed to score76134812

Penalties

MetricRhode IslandLas Vegas Lights
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricRhode IslandLas Vegas Lights
Wins22
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-46-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricRhode IslandLas Vegas Lights
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rhode Island or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.47 @ Pinnacle
Away7.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rhode Island = 0.98 (league 1.17), Las Vegas Lights = 0.39 (league 0.91)

Las Vegas Lights
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rhode Island 0 25.2% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 14.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1