Erovnuli Liga
— Georgia
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 09:30 •
Kavkasioni Arena
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.41)
1.55 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7% | 25.1% | 44.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Samgurali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telavi | 0 | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 44% |
| Defense | 33% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 18% | 24% | 21% | 39% | 29% | 34% |
| Draws | 35% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 12% | 17% |
| Loses | 47% | 59% | 53% | 39% | 59% | 49% |
Form: Telavi: LWWDLWLLLDLLLLDLLLWDDDLDWWLLWDLLDL • Samgurali: LWWDLDLLWLDLLLLLWWWDDLLLLWWWWWDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 36 | 58 | 17 | 33 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Telavi | Samgurali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 76% | 71% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 50% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 24% | 23% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-0 | 2-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Telavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 19% | 81% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Samgurali
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Telavi = 1.21 (league 1.41), Samgurali = 1.55 (league 1.26)
| Samgurali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telavi | 0 | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 44.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1