Virsliga — Latvia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.68) 1.55 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 25.3% 46.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
BFC Daugavpils
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metta / LU 0 6.8% 10.6% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.8% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetta / LUBFC Daugavpils
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack35%24%
Defense35%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metta / LU BFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins24%17%20%56%18%37%
Draws24%17%20%11%41%26%
Loses53%67%60%33%41%37%

Form: Metta / LU: LLWWWDLDLLLLDLLLLDLDLWLLWDLLWLLLLWD • BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWWLLWDDL

League goals

Metric Metta / LU BFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
GF total171936321951
GF avg1.01.11.01.81.11.5
GA total314273273259
GA avg1.82.32.11.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetta / LUBFC Daugavpils
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%89%86%77%
1.531%66%37%46%
2.59%31%17%17%
3.53%20%6%14%
4.50%3%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetta / LUBFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
Clean sheets224538
Failed to score8614235

Penalties

MetricMetta / LUBFC Daugavpils
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total59

Streaks

MetricMetta / LUBFC Daugavpils
Wins33
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-45-11-75-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against4575

Model comparison

MetricMetta / LUBFC Daugavpils
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or BFC Daugavpils

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metta / LU = 1.13 (league 1.68), BFC Daugavpils = 1.55 (league 1.28)

BFC Daugavpils
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metta / LU 0 6.8% 10.6% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.8% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1