Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.31) 1.06 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 27.7% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 9.5% 10.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCearaFluminense
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack57%57%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceara Fluminense
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins43%19%30%73%20%47%
Draws21%31%27%7%27%17%
Loses36%50%43%20%53%37%

Form: Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLLL • Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Ceara Fluminense
HATHAT
GF total141327201737
GF avg1.00.80.91.31.11.2
GA total111829102535
GA avg0.81.11.00.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCearaFluminense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%77%63%
1.527%23%40%37%
2.53%3%7%13%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCearaFluminense
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497411
Failed to score5712257

Penalties

MetricCearaFluminense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCearaFluminense
Wins13
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-24-2
Goals For3233
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricCearaFluminense
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fluminense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ceara = 1.30 (league 1.31), Fluminense = 1.06 (league 0.83)

Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 9.5% 10.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1