Serie A — Brazil
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 22:00 • Ilha do Retiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.31) 0.90 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 23.0% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport RecifeJuventude
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack33%33%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Recife Juventude
HATHAT
Played141630161531
Wins7%6%7%38%7%23%
Draws50%25%37%19%13%16%
Loses43%69%57%44%80%61%

Form: Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLDLLL • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Sport Recife Juventude
HATHAT
GF total1392217724
GF avg0.90.60.71.10.50.8
GA total212849193958
GA avg1.51.81.61.22.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport RecifeJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%83%55%81%
1.517%57%23%55%
2.50%20%0%29%
3.50%3%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport RecifeJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets325426
Failed to score58135914

Penalties

MetricSport RecifeJuventude
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSport RecifeJuventude
Wins11
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-43-01-36-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricSport RecifeJuventude
Form25%75%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sport Recife or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Betano
Away4.40 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Recife = 1.79 (league 1.31), Juventude = 0.90 (league 0.83)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1