Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:00 • Neo Química Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.31) 0.86 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 29.9% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 13.0% 11.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansCeara
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack35%18%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Ceara
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins47%24%34%44%19%31%
Draws27%29%28%25%31%28%
Loses27%47%38%31%50%41%

Form: Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLDWLWWWL • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLLLWD

League goals

Metric Corinthians Ceara
HATHAT
GF total211435171330
GF avg1.40.81.11.10.80.9
GA total132437121830
GA avg0.91.41.20.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%66%63%69%
1.519%41%28%22%
2.513%6%3%3%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets74116410
Failed to score3585712

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansCeara
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansCeara
Wins31
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-2
Goals For4332
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansCeara
Form69%31%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Corinthians or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 1.18 (league 1.31), Ceara = 0.86 (league 0.83)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 13.0% 11.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1