Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 10:00 •
Stadion Ibrogimbek Gaforov
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.26)
0.60 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 39.7% | 26.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.9%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Khujand | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barki Tajik | 0 | 26.9% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 17% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 30% | 27% | 29% | 55% | 20% | 38% |
| Draws | 30% | 55% | 43% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Loses | 40% | 18% | 29% | 27% | 60% | 43% |
Form: Barki Tajik: LWDDWLDDLLWDLWDWLWDDD • Khujand: LLLWWWDWLWLWLLDLWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 17 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barki Tajik | Khujand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 57% | 81% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 29% | 24% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khujand |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Khujand and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barki Tajik = 0.72 (league 1.26), Khujand = 0.60 (league 1.11)
| Khujand | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barki Tajik | 0 | 26.9% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 39.7% · Away win 26.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1