Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 19:00 • The Bluebell Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 2.02) 1.55 (league 1.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 25.5% 56.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Larne W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lisburn 0 10.1% 15.6% 12.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLisburnLarne W
Played55
Form0%20%
Attack0%29%
Defense18%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 08 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)23 | 4.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

68%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lisburn Larne W
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins0%17%8%0%17%8%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%83%92%100%83%92%

Form: Lisburn: LWLLLLLLLLLL • Larne W: LLLLLLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Lisburn Larne W
HATHAT
GF total2245510
GF avg0.30.30.30.80.80.8
GA total212142263056
GA avg3.53.53.54.35.04.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLisburnLarne W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%92%50%100%
1.58%75%17%83%
2.50%50%8%75%
3.50%42%8%67%
4.50%42%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLisburnLarne W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score459246

Penalties

MetricLisburnLarne W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLisburnLarne W
Wins11
Draws00
Losses110

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—1-4
Biggest losses0-68-01-911-0
Goals For1224
Goals Against68911

Model comparison

MetricLisburnLarne W
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Larne W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lisburn = 0.74 (league 2.02), Larne W = 1.55 (league 1.81)

Larne W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lisburn 0 10.1% 15.6% 12.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 56.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1