Super League — Malawi
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:30 • Kamuzu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.26) 0.28 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.9% 11.1% 2.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.3%
3 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Songwe Border United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mighty Tigers 0 6.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.3% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMighty TigersSongwe Border United
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack38%23%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mighty Tigers Songwe Border United
HATHAT
Played101121101020
Wins30%9%19%10%0%5%
Draws10%45%29%10%10%10%
Loses60%45%52%80%90%85%

Form: Mighty Tigers: LLWLLWWDLLWDLDDLLLDLD • Songwe Border United: LLLLDLLLLLLLLLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Mighty Tigers Songwe Border United
HATHAT
GF total10515628
GF avg1.00.50.70.60.20.4
GA total121224193251
GA avg1.21.11.11.93.22.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMighty TigersSongwe Border United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%62%40%90%
1.514%43%0%65%
2.50%10%0%50%
3.50%0%0%30%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMighty TigersSongwe Border United
HATHAT
Clean sheets358202
Failed to score2794812

Penalties

MetricMighty TigersSongwe Border United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMighty TigersSongwe Border United
Wins20
Draws21
Losses39

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-0—
Biggest losses2-33-11-47-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against3347

Model comparison

MetricMighty TigersSongwe Border United
Form40%60%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total59.2%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mighty Tigers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mighty Tigers = 2.53 (league 1.26), Songwe Border United = 0.28 (league 0.87)

Songwe Border United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mighty Tigers 0 6.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.3% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.9% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1