Super League — Malawi
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 • Rumphi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.24) 1.15 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 30.0% 41.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Moyale Barracks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ekwendeni Hammers 0 12.8% 14.8% 8.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.2% 6.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEkwendeni HammersMoyale Barracks
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ekwendeni Hammers Moyale Barracks
HATHAT
Played12112312921
Wins17%27%22%25%33%29%
Draws33%0%17%58%11%38%
Loses50%73%61%17%56%33%

Form: Ekwendeni Hammers: LWLDLLWLDLLLLLLWDWLWLLD • Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDLDWW

League goals

Metric Ekwendeni Hammers Moyale Barracks
HATHAT
GF total981712618
GF avg0.80.70.71.00.70.9
GA total172037111324
GA avg1.41.81.60.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEkwendeni HammersMoyale Barracks
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%83%62%71%
1.517%39%19%29%
2.50%22%5%14%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEkwendeni HammersMoyale Barracks
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score4610448

Penalties

MetricEkwendeni HammersMoyale Barracks
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricEkwendeni HammersMoyale Barracks
Wins12
Draws12
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-36-10-23-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3623

Model comparison

MetricEkwendeni HammersMoyale Barracks
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h64%36%
Goals75%25%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ekwendeni Hammers or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ekwendeni Hammers = 0.90 (league 1.24), Moyale Barracks = 1.15 (league 0.85)

Moyale Barracks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ekwendeni Hammers 0 12.8% 14.8% 8.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.2% 6.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 41.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1