Serie A — Italy
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 14:00 • Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.10 (league 1.23) 0.27 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 70.8% 22.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
68.9%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 68.9% 18.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPisaParma
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack42%50%
Defense50%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pisa Parma
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins14%0%8%14%17%15%
Draws43%67%54%43%33%38%
Loses43%33%38%43%50%46%

Form: Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDL • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Pisa Parma
HATHAT
GF total1910639
GF avg0.11.50.80.90.50.7
GA total4141810717
GA avg0.62.31.41.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePisaParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%69%46%77%
1.531%46%23%46%
2.50%15%0%8%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPisaParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets404123
Failed to score617347

Penalties

MetricPisaParma
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricPisaParma
Wins11
Draws42
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-32-0
Goals For1222
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricPisaParma
Form60%40%
Att45%55%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total47.2%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pisa or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ 1xBet
Draw3.09 @ 1xBet
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.63 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pisa = 0.10 (league 1.23), Parma = 0.27 (league 1.09)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 68.9% 18.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 70.8% · Away win 22.1%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1