Sun, May 10 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.27)
1.03 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5% | 29.5% | 32.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Atalanta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AC Milan | 0 | 11.6% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 13% | 75% |
| Defense | 25% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 53% | 56% | 54% | 50% | 29% | 40% |
| Draws | 29% | 28% | 29% | 33% | 41% | 37% |
| Loses | 18% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 29% | 23% |
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AtalantaDDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 26 | 48 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AC Milan | Atalanta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 57% | 80% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 23% | 37% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 3% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AC Milan | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away3.65 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Unibet
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League standings
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