Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.55) 0.82 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 14.3% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonLeeds
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack83%67%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Leeds
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%40%25%33%
Draws50%20%33%40%0%22%
Loses0%60%33%20%75%44%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWL • Leeds: WLDLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Brighton Leeds
HATHAT
GF total7714639
GF avg1.81.41.61.20.81.0
GA total510155914
GA avg1.32.01.71.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%56%78%
1.556%44%33%44%
2.511%11%11%11%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricBrightonLeeds
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBrightonLeeds
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-11-3
Biggest losses—4-21-25-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2425

Model comparison

MetricBrightonLeeds
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ 1xBet
Away3.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 2.68 (league 1.55), Leeds = 0.82 (league 1.27)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 9.0%

Vtot 139 , Vtod2