Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Vitality Stadium
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.51)
0.97 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.0% | 24.4% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Leeds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bournemouth | 0 | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 43% | 36% |
| Defense | 71% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 38% | 29% | 33% | 41% | 13% | 27% |
| Draws | 50% | 41% | 45% | 29% | 44% | 36% |
| Loses | 13% | 29% | 21% | 29% | 44% | 36% |
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LeedsWLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLWDDLLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 27 | 50 | 25 | 17 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 33 | 50 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bournemouth | Leeds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 73% | 67% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 42% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 24% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 12% | 3% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 48% | 52% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.07 @ Dafabet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.26 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.40 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…